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A big part of NFL survivor strategy is not using the best teams early, and many players are learning that when they look at the Week 4 NFL schedule. The are fired up after a Monday Night Football lo s to Kansas Ryane Clowe Kids Jersey City and now face a reeling Washington team. William Hill lists Baltimore as a 13-point favorite in the latest NFL odds, so the Ravens would seem like a no-brainer to use for your NFL survivor pool picks. Unfortunately, for many, the Ravens are no longer an option.The good news is there are plenty of big favorites for your NFL knockout pool picks. At William Hill, seven teams are 6.5-point favorites or better, and many are at home, including Pavel Zacha Women Jersey the (-13 vs. ), Bucs (-7 vs. Chargers), 49ers (-7.5 vs. Eagles) and (-7.5 vs. ). Before making any Week 4 NFL survivor picks, SportsLine's all-time No. 1 NFL expert, Tierney excels both straight-up and against the spread. Anyone who has followed his is up more than $4,000.Last year, Tierney went 161-94-1 on , beating the vast majority of experts on NFLPickWatch. A renowned sportswriter who's reported from seven Super Bowls, Tierney is an authority on the survivor pool format. In Week 1 -- when hundreds of thousands of Survivor players blew their entire season by picking the , or -- Tierney rolled with the Ravens over the . The result: Baltimore 38, Cleveland 6. In Week 2, Tierney advanced with the (over the ), and in Week 3 he cruised with the Colts demolishing the . In fact, Tierney warned readers to avoid Arizona in Week 3 and sure enough, the Cards got upset at home by a team that entered on an 11-game skid.He has studied the entire regular-season schedule, Dalton Prout Women Jersey plotting out which team he plans to take each week. .Top Week 4 NFL survivor pool predictions For Week 4, Tierney is not going with the surging , even though they're favored by more than a touchdown against the 1-2 . The Bucs have won two in a row, and quarterback has returned to winning form, so a touchdown spread at home is enticing. Tierney isn't biting because he knows the Chargers are a strong team capable of pulling the upset. The Bucs also are facing injuries to receivers (hamstring) and Scotty P K Subban Men Jersey Miller (groin) as well as running back (ankle). The Chargers are sixth in the league in total offense and eighth in defense, so they are capable on both sides of the ball. They also took the Super Bowl champion to overtime just two weeks ago. The Bucs have Brady's mojo, but they are 25th in total offense and there are too many chances to take the Bucs in future weeks to risk it in Week 4. How to make Week 4 NFL survivor pool picks There's a much better option, Tierney says. He has a confident pick on a team he Nikita Okhotyuk Jersey says will cruise to a convincing Week 4 win. Picking this team not only will get you to Week 5, Tierney says, it will put you in the optimal position to go deep in your NFL survivor pool. The time to pick this team is now, and .Which team is a must-back in your Week 4 survivor pool? , and find out.
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John Short, Jr